пятница, 20 июля 2007 г.

Friday (Day#6)

Actually I was wrong, as all the WNBA will take place today (there were no games yesterday). About the MLB - no selections yesterday (may be today). My first pick for today is an 1/4 finals match from U20 European Women Championship between great Britain and Poland.
My pick is under 133,5 (with 1,901 odds). W H Y ?
Each team played 4 games until today and only once (per each team the total was higher than 133). I made a little research and i find a very interesting thing, firstival GBritain allows opponents score 63,25 points, NED scored vs. GB 58 points (their average without that game 72!), LTU scored 63 (ave. 81!), SUI scored 70 (the highest) with ave. of 51,33 and finally POR scored 62 (ave. 73). In 3 out of 4 games GB reduced the opponent points by at least 11 points.
Now Poland, allowed opponents to score 53,75 points! MOT scored 78 (ave. 82), IRL 38 (ave. 55,66), SWE 49 (ave. 59,33) and finally ROM scored 50 (ave. 59). In 4 out of 4 games Poland reduced the number of points of their opponents.
Now: GB allows 63,25, while Poland 53,75 = TOTAL of 117 (16 less than the posted total).
Why the line is 133? The answer is - I don't know! Poland scores 60 per game while GB 68.
Plus I can't not to pay attention on the fact that this is 1/4 finals!!! On the paper looks very good choice. I hope not only on paper.

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